Will Circle (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?｜Live
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Trading endsNov 4, 19:00
Probability over time
Will Circle (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings? odds
The percentage shows the market’s estimated chance of that outcome — driven entirely by live trading, not set by OKX. A 50 reading means a Yes share costs 50¢. A correct Yes share returns 1xp at settlement; an incorrect one returns 0xp.
Will Circle (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings? outcome overview
Market Favourite
GAAP EPS above $0.37-- to win
Days to Start
6 DaysNov 4, 2026
Total Volume
$0↑ 0xp today
Market rules
As of market creation, Circle is estimated to release earnings on November 4, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Circle's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.37 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Circle reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.37 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Circle releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha (https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/CRCL/earnings). If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If a settlement dispute arises, an ambiguity arises that is not expressly covered by these rules, or the specified authoritative sources conflict, the platform will make the final determination in good faith based on the published rules, the specified data sources, and objectively verifiable facts.
Resolution sources
Related markets
FAQ
Click any outcome row and the trading panel syncs automatically. Select Yes (think it’ll happen) or No (think it won’t happen), enter your amount, and tap place order. You’ll need a free OKX account. Each correct Yes share pays 50¢ at settlement. Open positions remain active until the market closes.
Yes — you can sell your shares at any time before trading closes on Nov 4, 2026. The sale price reflects the market at that moment and may be higher or lower than what you paid. Once trading closes, positions settle at resolution.
Disclaimer
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