US October Unemployment Rate｜Live
Live
Last updated on --.
Total Volume$506.67
Markets3
Trading endsNov 6, 21:25
Probability over time
US October Unemployment Rate odds
The percentage shows the market’s estimated chance of that outcome — driven entirely by live trading, not set by OKX. A 34 reading means a Yes share costs 34¢. A correct Yes share returns 1xp at settlement; an incorrect one returns 0xp.
US October Unemployment Rate outcome overview
Market Favourite
Above 4.2%28% to win
Days to Start
9 DaysNov 6, 2026
Total Volume
$506.67↑ 506.67xp today
Market rules
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for October 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for November 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the reported unemployment rate is exactly 4.2%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution sources
Related markets
FAQ
Click any outcome row and the trading panel syncs automatically. Select Yes (think it’ll happen) or No (think it won’t happen), enter your amount, and tap place order. You’ll need a free OKX account. Each correct Yes share pays 28¢ at settlement. Open positions remain active until the market closes.
Yes — you can sell your shares at any time before trading closes on Nov 6, 2026. The sale price reflects the market at that moment and may be higher or lower than what you paid. Once trading closes, positions settle at resolution.
Disclaimer
No purchase or payment necessary. This campaign is a free points activity with no funds at risk. Not an offer/solicitation to buy, sell or hold digital assets, which are subject to volatility. Not all products are offered in all regions. T&Cs apply.