Which party will control the Senate after the 2026 midterm elections?｜En cours
En direct
Dernière mise à jour le --.
Volume total$175,15 k
Marchés2
Fin du trading4 nov., 12:59
Probabilité dans le temps
Cotes pour Which party will control the Senate after the 2026 midterm elections?
Le pourcentage indique la probabilité estimée du marché pour ce résultat, entièrement basée sur le trading en direct et non définie par OKX. Une probabilité de 63 signifie qu'une part Oui coûte 63 ¢. Une part Oui correcte rapporte 1 xp au règlement ; une part Oui incorrecte rapporte 0 xp.
Aperçu des résultats de Which party will control the Senate after the 2026 midterm elections?
Favoris du marché
Democratic Senate control63 % victoire
Jours avant le début
13 Jours4 nov. 2026
Volume total
$175,15 k↑ 3,37 k xp aujourd'hui
Règles du marché
This binary market asks whether the Democratic Party will control the U.S. Senate following the 2026 midterm election. It resolves Yes only if the Democratic Party is determined to control the chamber under the settlement rules; otherwise it resolves No. A voting-seat majority controls the Senate; if no party has a majority, the Vice Presidency and, if still necessary, the first selected President Pro Tempore determine control.
This event predicts which party will control the United States Senate following the 2026 U.S. midterm election. The determination includes qualifying regular elections, special elections, and subsequent runoffs affecting representation in the incoming 120th Congress. The active outcomes are the Democratic Party and the Republican Party.
Exactly one of the two active party markets resolves Yes.
A party controls the Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber's voting seats. If no party wins a majority, control belongs to the party that holds half of the voting seats and the Vice Presidency. If control remains ambiguous, it is assigned to the party of the first selected President Pro Tempore of the incoming Congress.
The count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the incoming 120th Congress and that, as of October 31, 2026, are scheduled for November 2026. A runoff arising from a qualifying election determines the relevant seat even if the runoff occurs after November 2026.
A vacant seat for which no election or special election is scheduled for November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 is attributed to the party of the most recent member to hold that seat.
A contested seat is attributed to the party under which the winning member was elected. A member-elect changing party or vacating the seat before Congress is formally organized does not change that attribution. A seat not contested in the specified election is attributed to the party holding it on election day, and a later party change or vacancy does not change that attribution.
A senator elected as an independent is included in a party's count only if the senator formally caucuses with that party or, for a newly elected senator, publicly announces an intention to do so. If the caucus decision is unknown on election day, settlement may remain pending until the earlier of the senator's announcement or January 4, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. If no announcement is made by that deadline, the senator is not counted toward any party.
Resolution is based on official information from the relevant state election authorities and the United States Congress, together with a consensus of credible reporting where necessary.
Marchés associés
FAQ
Cliquez sur n'importe quelle ligne de résultat pour que le panneau de trading se synchronise automatiquement. Choisissez Oui (si vous pensez que l'évènement se produira) ou Non (si vous pensez que l'évènement ne se produira pas), saisissez votre montant et appuyez sur Passer un ordre. Il vous faudra un compte OKX gratuit. Chaque part Oui correcte rapporte 63¢ au règlement. Les positions ouvertes restent actives jusqu à la clôture du marché.
Oui, vous pouvez vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la clôture du trading le 4 nov. 2026. Le cours de vente reflète le marché à ce moment-là et peut être supérieur ou inférieur à ce que vous avez payé. Une fois le trading clos, les positions sont réglées à la résolution.
Avis de non-responsabilité
Aucun achat ni paiement n’est nécessaire. Cette campagne est une activité gratuite à points, sans fonds engagés. Ne constitue pas une offre ou une sollicitation d'achat, de vente ou de détention d'actifs numériques, ces derniers étant soumis à une forte volatilité. Tous les produits ne sont pas disponibles dans toutes les régions. Voir les conditions générales.