Which party will control the Senate after the 2026 midterm elections?｜Pågår
Direkte
Sist oppdatert --.
Totalt volum$175,15k
Markeder2
Handel avsluttes4. nov., 12:59
Sannsynlighet over tid
Which party will control the Senate after the 2026 midterm elections?-odds
Prosentandelen viser markedets estimerte sjanse for det resultatet – drevet utelukkende av sanntidshandel – ikke satt av OKX. En avlesning på 63 betyr at en Ja-andel koster 63¢. En riktig Ja-andel gir 1 xp ved oppgjør; en feil gir 0 xp.
Resultatoversikt over Which party will control the Senate after the 2026 midterm elections?
Markedsfavoritt
Democratic Senate control63 % for å vinne
Dager til start
13 dager4. nov. 2026
Totalt volum
$175,15k↑ 3,37kxp i dag
Markedsregler
This binary market asks whether the Democratic Party will control the U.S. Senate following the 2026 midterm election. It resolves Yes only if the Democratic Party is determined to control the chamber under the settlement rules; otherwise it resolves No. A voting-seat majority controls the Senate; if no party has a majority, the Vice Presidency and, if still necessary, the first selected President Pro Tempore determine control.
This event predicts which party will control the United States Senate following the 2026 U.S. midterm election. The determination includes qualifying regular elections, special elections, and subsequent runoffs affecting representation in the incoming 120th Congress. The active outcomes are the Democratic Party and the Republican Party.
Exactly one of the two active party markets resolves Yes.
A party controls the Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber's voting seats. If no party wins a majority, control belongs to the party that holds half of the voting seats and the Vice Presidency. If control remains ambiguous, it is assigned to the party of the first selected President Pro Tempore of the incoming Congress.
The count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the incoming 120th Congress and that, as of October 31, 2026, are scheduled for November 2026. A runoff arising from a qualifying election determines the relevant seat even if the runoff occurs after November 2026.
A vacant seat for which no election or special election is scheduled for November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 is attributed to the party of the most recent member to hold that seat.
A contested seat is attributed to the party under which the winning member was elected. A member-elect changing party or vacating the seat before Congress is formally organized does not change that attribution. A seat not contested in the specified election is attributed to the party holding it on election day, and a later party change or vacancy does not change that attribution.
A senator elected as an independent is included in a party's count only if the senator formally caucuses with that party or, for a newly elected senator, publicly announces an intention to do so. If the caucus decision is unknown on election day, settlement may remain pending until the earlier of the senator's announcement or January 4, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. If no announcement is made by that deadline, the senator is not counted toward any party.
Resolution is based on official information from the relevant state election authorities and the United States Congress, together with a consensus of credible reporting where necessary.
Relaterte markeder
Vanlige spørsmål
Klikk på en resultatrad, så synkroniseres handelspanelet automatisk. Velg Ja (tror det vil skje) eller Nei (tror ikke det vil skje), skriv inn beløpet, og trykk for å legge inn ordre. Du trenger en gratis OKX-konto. Hver riktige Ja-andel utbetaler 63¢ ved oppgjør. Åpne posisjoner forblir aktive frem til markedet lukkes.
Ja – du kan selge aksjene dine når som helst før handel stenger den 4. nov. 2026. Salgsprisen gjenspeiler markedet i dette øyeblikket og kan være høyere eller lavere enn det du betalte. Når handelen lukkes, gjøres posisjonene opp ved løsning.
Ansvarsfraskrivelse
Ingen kjøp eller betaling er nødvendig. Denne kampanjen er en gratispoengaktivitet uten risiko for midlene. Ikke et tilbud / en oppfordring om å kjøpe, selge eller holde digitale aktiva, som er utsatt for volatilitet. Ikke alle produkter tilbys i alle regioner. Vilkår og betingelser gjelder.