Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?｜Live
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Last updated on --.
Total Volume$35.13K
Markets1
Trading endsNov 4, 05:00
Probability over time
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings? odds
The percentage shows the market’s estimated chance of that outcome — driven entirely by live trading, not set by OKX. A 75 reading means a Yes share costs 75¢. A correct Yes share returns 1xp at settlement; an incorrect one returns 0xp.
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings? outcome overview
Market Favourite
beat quarterly earnings75% to win
Days to Start
8 DaysNov 4, 2026
Total Volume
$35.13K↑ 35.13Kxp today
Market rules
As of market creation, Apple is estimated to release earnings on November 2, 2026. The fixed Street consensus threshold for Apple's Normalized EPS is $1.98. This market resolves Yes only if Apple reports Normalized EPS strictly greater than $1.98 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release; otherwise it resolves No. First use the Normalized EPS in the company's initially published official earnings documents. Normalized EPS means diluted Normalized EPS, or basic Normalized EPS if diluted is not published. If the official documents do not provide Normalized EPS, use the Normalized EPS reported by Seeking Alpha (https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/AAPL/earnings). If no qualifying Normalized EPS is available within 96 hours after 4:00 PM ET on the earnings announcement date, resolve No. If Apple does not release earnings within 45 calendar days after November 2, 2026, resolve No. Round all figures to the nearest cent using standard rounding. IFRS EPS is treated as Normalized EPS. Later restatements, corrections, or revisions do not change resolution except an obvious and immediate correction to the initial release. Figures are in USD unless otherwise indicated. For Apple, use the Normalized EPS figure and USD per AAPL share or ADS as displayed by the named source; do not convert from another share class or currency.
If a settlement dispute arises, an ambiguity arises that is not expressly covered by these rules, or the specified authoritative sources conflict, the platform will make the final determination in good faith based on the published rules, the specified data sources, and objectively verifiable facts.
Resolution sources
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FAQ
Click any outcome row and the trading panel syncs automatically. Select Yes (think it’ll happen) or No (think it won’t happen), enter your amount, and tap place order. You’ll need a free OKX account. Each correct Yes share pays 75¢ at settlement. Open positions remain active until the market closes.
Yes — you can sell your shares at any time before trading closes on Nov 4, 2026. The sale price reflects the market at that moment and may be higher or lower than what you paid. Once trading closes, positions settle at resolution.
Disclaimer
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