Which party will control the Senate after the 2026 midterm elections?｜Em direto
Direto
Última atualização a --.
Volume total$175,15 mil
Mercados2
O trading termina a4/11, 12:59
Probabilidade ao longo do tempo
Probabilidades do Which party will control the Senate after the 2026 midterm elections?
A percentagem mostra a probabilidade estimada do mercado para esse resultado, determinado inteiramente por trading em direto e não definido pela OKX. Uma leitura 63 significa que uma ação Sim custa 63¢. Uma ação Sim correta paga 1 xp na liquidação; uma incorreta paga 0 xp.
Visão geral do resultado de Which party will control the Senate after the 2026 midterm elections?
Favorito do mercado
Democratic Senate control63% para ganhar
Dias para começar
13 Dias4/11/2026
Volume total
$175,15 mil^ 3,37 mil xp hoje
Regras de mercado
This binary market asks whether the Democratic Party will control the U.S. Senate following the 2026 midterm election. It resolves Yes only if the Democratic Party is determined to control the chamber under the settlement rules; otherwise it resolves No. A voting-seat majority controls the Senate; if no party has a majority, the Vice Presidency and, if still necessary, the first selected President Pro Tempore determine control.
This event predicts which party will control the United States Senate following the 2026 U.S. midterm election. The determination includes qualifying regular elections, special elections, and subsequent runoffs affecting representation in the incoming 120th Congress. The active outcomes are the Democratic Party and the Republican Party.
Exactly one of the two active party markets resolves Yes.
A party controls the Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber's voting seats. If no party wins a majority, control belongs to the party that holds half of the voting seats and the Vice Presidency. If control remains ambiguous, it is assigned to the party of the first selected President Pro Tempore of the incoming Congress.
The count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the incoming 120th Congress and that, as of October 31, 2026, are scheduled for November 2026. A runoff arising from a qualifying election determines the relevant seat even if the runoff occurs after November 2026.
A vacant seat for which no election or special election is scheduled for November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 is attributed to the party of the most recent member to hold that seat.
A contested seat is attributed to the party under which the winning member was elected. A member-elect changing party or vacating the seat before Congress is formally organized does not change that attribution. A seat not contested in the specified election is attributed to the party holding it on election day, and a later party change or vacancy does not change that attribution.
A senator elected as an independent is included in a party's count only if the senator formally caucuses with that party or, for a newly elected senator, publicly announces an intention to do so. If the caucus decision is unknown on election day, settlement may remain pending until the earlier of the senator's announcement or January 4, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. If no announcement is made by that deadline, the senator is not counted toward any party.
Resolution is based on official information from the relevant state election authorities and the United States Congress, together with a consensus of credible reporting where necessary.
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