
Which party will control the Senate after the 2026 midterm elections?|Pågår
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Total volym$175,15 tn
Marknader2
Handel avslutas4 nov. 12:59
Sannolikhet över tid
Which party will control the Senate after the 2026 midterm elections?-odds
Procentandelen visar marknadens uppskattade sannolikhet för det resultatet – helt baserat på realtidshandel, inte på OKX. En 63-läsning betyder att en Ja-aktie kostar 63¢. En korrekt Ja-aktie betalar 1xp vid avräkning; en felaktig betalar 0xp.
Which party will control the Senate after the 2026 midterm elections? utfallsöversikt
Marknadens favorit
Democratic Senate control63 % för att vinna
Dagar till start
13 Dagar4 nov. 2026
Total volym
$175,15 tn↑ 3,37 tn xp idag
Marknadsregler
This binary market asks whether the Democratic Party will control the U.S. Senate following the 2026 midterm election. It resolves Yes only if the Democratic Party is determined to control the chamber under the settlement rules; otherwise it resolves No. A voting-seat majority controls the Senate; if no party has a majority, the Vice Presidency and, if still necessary, the first selected President Pro Tempore determine control.
This event predicts which party will control the United States Senate following the 2026 U.S. midterm election. The determination includes qualifying regular elections, special elections, and subsequent runoffs affecting representation in the incoming 120th Congress. The active outcomes are the Democratic Party and the Republican Party.
Exactly one of the two active party markets resolves Yes.
A party controls the Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber's voting seats. If no party wins a majority, control belongs to the party that holds half of the voting seats and the Vice Presidency. If control remains ambiguous, it is assigned to the party of the first selected President Pro Tempore of the incoming Congress.
The count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the incoming 120th Congress and that, as of October 31, 2026, are scheduled for November 2026. A runoff arising from a qualifying election determines the relevant seat even if the runoff occurs after November 2026.
A vacant seat for which no election or special election is scheduled for November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 is attributed to the party of the most recent member to hold that seat.
A contested seat is attributed to the party under which the winning member was elected. A member-elect changing party or vacating the seat before Congress is formally organized does not change that attribution. A seat not contested in the specified election is attributed to the party holding it on election day, and a later party change or vacancy does not change that attribution.
A senator elected as an independent is included in a party's count only if the senator formally caucuses with that party or, for a newly elected senator, publicly announces an intention to do so. If the caucus decision is unknown on election day, settlement may remain pending until the earlier of the senator's announcement or January 4, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. If no announcement is made by that deadline, the senator is not counted toward any party.
Resolution is based on official information from the relevant state election authorities and the United States Congress, together with a consensus of credible reporting where necessary.
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Klicka på valfri resultatrad så synkroniseras handelspanelen automatiskt. Välj Ja (tror att det kommer att hända) eller Nej (tror att det inte kommer att hända), ange ditt belopp och tryck på lägg order. Du behöver ett gratis OKX-konto. Varje korrekt Ja-andel betalar 63¢ vid avräkning. Öppna positioner förbli aktiva tills marknaden stänger.
Ja — du kan sälja dina aktier när som helst innan handeln stänger den 4 nov. 2026. Försäljningspriset återspeglar marknaden just då och kan vara högre eller lägre än vad du betalade. När handeln stängs, stabiliseras positionen vid lösning.
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